I flew back from Soviet Canuckistan last night and got to experience
the
new security measures firsthand. The high order bit is that
nearly all carry-on baggage is banned. They make exceptions for
a few things like women's purses, medicine, baby stuff, cameras, and laptops
(allegedly no chargers but we saw exceptions)
but even then you can't carry them in a significant bag: the
security lines were full of people carrying their naked
laptops. Luckily, Mrs. Guesswork was carrying some stuffable
cloth bags which we were able to use as for our laptops, paperwork,
a book, etc. My co-worker Derek wasn't as lucky, but the airline
customer service rep did provide him with a substitute:
After you've checked all your valuable stuff, you get to go through
security. The magnetometer and the bag x-ray are the same,
but once you get through that, they hand-search all your
stuff as well as giving you an extremely thorough
pat-down, said pat-down extending to going through your
wallet, presumably in order to verify that your money
won't explode. All this was still quite a bit slower
than the ordinary security screening, however.
As reported previously, the FAs required you to stay in your
seat for the last hour of the flight, but didn't try to
stop you from having what remained of your stuff in your lap
during that time.
As usual, TSA is being pretty uncommunicative about the
rationale for the new restrictions.
My impression based on Transport Canada's
statement is
that TSA required a whole bunch of new security restrictions
including the hand searches and pat downs and that this
created really long wait times at Canadian airports.
So while restricting carry-on doesn't serve any real
security purpose it does reduce the amount of searching
that has to be done and therefore somewhat ameliorates
the waiting time problem.
Obviously, keeping you in your seat for the last hour of the
flight is pretty pointless. Even if terrorists can't blow
themselves up from their seats, nothing stops them from
detonating a bomb 61 minutes before landing. This just seems
like fighting the last war.
On the other hand, doing really extensive searches of people probably
does add some security value. This isn't to say that there's no way
for someone to smuggle explosives onto the plane with the current
level of screening, but this presumably does increase the required
level of sophistication. On the other hand, it's a huge hassle for
travelers—I never travel with checked luggage if I can avoid
it, but the new restrictions more or less require you to check
bags.
As I said earlier, the cost/benefit analysis hasn't really changed
since before the attempted attack. If it wasn't worth doing
this level of searching a month ago, it isn't worth doing it
now just because we're freaked out that someone finally
tried the attack we knew would eventually come. And if it
is worth doing now, then it was worth doing before so
why weren't we doing it?
I can't see any reason to have different levels of screening
for domestic and international flights. It's not like it's
that much easier to lay your hands on explosives in Canada
or Europe than in the US, so what stops a terrorist from
flying to the US without any weapons or anything, getting
explosives and then boarding a plane in the US? The added security is
particularly silly on flights which originate in Vancouver
and Toronto; ordinarily you clear customs and immigration
in the US, so at least in theory terrorists might board the
plane in say Frankfurt and not be apprehended until they
arrive in San Francisco, at which point it's too late
(of course, if the no-fly list actually worked, this would
be less of an issue, but since it's actually pretty lame...).
However, in many Canadian airports, including YVR and YYZ
you clear immigration and customs in Canada (and this is done by TSA agents so
there's no concern about not trusting foreigners)
and when you land you just get off the plane. For
flights from those airports, there's no meaningful distinction
between domestic and international flights even if there
would have been otherwise.
Ideally, in a week or two the panic response will die down, TSA will
relax their restrictions and we'll go back to when we thought just
having to take your shoes off was annoying. Reading the tea leaves,
though (see, for instance, William Saletan's post here), I
suspect that instead this will accelerate the deployment of whole body
scanners as an alternative to the pat-downs.
Ironically, Wikipedia reports that the first airport
deployment of whole body scanners was in Schiphol, the airport
where
Umar Abdulmutallab (thanks to Wikipedia for the name) boarded; it would be interesting to know
if he went through the scanners.
Of course whole-body scanners don't let you scan carry-on
luggage any faster, so it's hard to see how anything other
than a lower level of paranoia will improve that.